Wimbledon 2025 Men’s Preview: 5 Underdogs Who Could Stun in Round One

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29 Jun 2025
Site Editor 29 Jun 2025
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  • Kopriva could exploit Jordan Thompson's injury troubles
  • Nuno Borges aims to take advantage of Cerúndolo's losing streak
  • Carreno Busta relies on experience against debutant Chris Rodesch
wimbledon
Wimbledon 2025 is set — the calm before the storm as opening-round underdogs prepare to disrupt the draw. (credit: Getty)

Wimbledon 2025: Five Underdogs Who Could Stun in Round One

The Wimbledon 2025 men’s draw is full of top contenders and big reputations, but opening rounds often deliver unexpected twists. Whether it’s due to recent form, surface discomfort, or underrated opponents, some of the fancied names could be in real danger. Here are five underdogs with the potential to derail expectations right from round one.
  • Wimbledon 2025: Five Underdogs Who Could Stun in Round One
  • Vit Kopriva (vs Jordan Thompson)
  • Nuno Borges (vs Francisco Cerúndolo)
  • Pablo Carreño Busta (vs Chris Rodesch)
  • Sebastian Ofner (vs Hamad Medjedovic)
  • Adam Walton (vs Arthur Cazaux)

Vit Kopriva (vs Jordan Thompson)


 Vit Kopriva
Kopriva eyes a breakthrough as Thompson battles fitness issues. (credit: Getty)

  • Ranking Gap: #82 vs #45 
  • Underdog Opening Price: $3.75 
  • Why It’s Dangerous: Thompson has been dealing with fitness problems all season. 
  • Upset Chance: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ 
  • Grass Record/Form: Kopriva has only five career wins on grass. 

Remarks: Vit Kopriva is going through the best phase of his career at the moment, and Jordan Thompson is struggling terribly with injuries this season, opening up a nice window for the Czech to expose the Aussie’s physical vulnerabilities.

Nuno Borges (vs Francisco Cerúndolo)


Nuno Borges
Borges targets Cerúndolo, who’s riding a three-match losing streak. (credit: Getty)

  • Ranking Gap: #37 vs #18 
  • Underdog Opening Price: $2.55 
  • Why It’s Dangerous: Cerúndolo has zero momentum, having lost his last three matches. 
  • Upset Chance: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ 
  • Grass Record/Form: Borges made his maiden grass-court quarterfinal appearance in 's-Hertogenbosch two weeks ago. 

Remarks: Cerúndolo’s form has fallen off a cliff in recent weeks, including a first-round loss to underdog Gabriel Diallo at the French Open. He now looks clearly exposed to another early Grand Slam defeat.

Pablo Carreño Busta (vs Chris Rodesch)


Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta looks to use his experience against debutant Rodesch. (credit: Getty)

  • Ranking Gap: #93 vs #163 
  • Underdog Opening Price: $2.52 
  • Why It’s Dangerous: Chris Rodesch has never previously played a main-draw match in a Slam — or on the main tour at all. 
  • Upset Chance: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ 
  • Grass Record/Form: Carreño Busta has not won a match on grass since 2022 and is winless in seven Wimbledon appearances. 

Remarks: Carreño Busta is at the lowest point of his career, but he still carries a wealth of experience — something Rodesch completely lacks. Making your tour-level and Slam main-draw debut simultaneously is a tough ask, and if the Spaniard can stay fit throughout, he has the tools to take advantage of that inexperience.

Sebastian Ofner (vs Hamad Medjedovic)


Sebastian Ofner
Ofner aims to expose Medjedovic’s five-set fragility on grass. (credit: Getty)

  • Ranking Gap: #115 vs #73 
  • Underdog Opening Price: $2.20 
  • Why It’s Dangerous: Two clear reasons to back the underdog — Ofner is competent on grass, and Medjedovic remains physically vulnerable, even in best-of-three formats. 
  • Upset Chance: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ 
  • Grass Record/Form: Ofner holds a 28–20 career record on grass and reached the third round at Wimbledon on debut in 2017. 

Remarks: Sebastian Ofner has all the tools to trouble Medjedovic on this surface, and he will become the solid favorite if the match goes beyond three sets. The Serbian’s physical fragility in longer contests has been exposed time and again, and that weakness could be decisive here.

Adam Walton (vs Arthur Cazaux)


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Walton hopes to test Cazaux’s fitness in a potential five-setter. (credit: Getty)

Ranking Gap: #86 vs #116 
Underdog Opening Price: $2.60 
Why It’s Dangerous: Arthur Cazaux’s fitness over five sets is questionable, making him vulnerable in a long match. 
Upset Chance: ⭐⭐☆☆☆ 
Grass Record/Form: Walton is 1–4 on grass this year but has been competitive, including a solid showing against Carlos Alcaraz at Queen’s Club.

Remarks: Arthur Cazaux is clearly the superior talent and should control the match if he remains physically intact. But if Walton can extend the contest to four or five sets, his chances of taking over increase significantly.