Wimbledon 2025 Women’s Draw: Breaking Down the Title Chances for Sabalenka, Rybakina and Gauff

By Site Editor

27 Jun 2025

Site Editor 27 Jun 2025

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Wimbledon 2025 highlights Sabalenka, Rybakina, and Gauff
Sabalenka returns as top favorite after last year's absence
Rybakina has a strong Wimbledon track record with a 2022 title

Wimbledon 2025 returns to the iconic grass courts of SW19, home to this year’s top WTA contenders. (credit: Getty)

Wimbledon 2025 Women’s Draw: Title Chances for Sabalenka, Rybakina & Gauff

The Wimbledon 2025 draw has been unveiled, shifting the spotlight onto the three front-runners in the women’s field: Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, and Coco Gauff. We dissect their brackets and gauge how their recent form and draw dynamics shape their title hopes at the All England Club.

Wimbledon 2025 Women’s Draw: Title Chances for Sabalenka, Rybakina & Gauff
🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka
🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina
🇺🇸 Coco Gauff
📊 Final Thoughts: Who Has the Edge?

🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka

Draw position: Top seed and Top half

Early threats: Emma Raducanu or Marketa Vondrousova in Third Round

Biggest obstacle before the final: Madison Keys

Grass form: Semifinal in Berlin

Best Wimbledon result: Semifinal in 2021 and 2023

Implied probability of winning: ★★★★☆

🔎 Comment: She skipped Wimbledon last year but returns as the top favorite after reaching the final of her last three Grand Slam events.

🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina

Draw position: Eighth quarter

Early threats: Maria Sakkari in Second Round

Biggest obstacle before the final: Coco Gauff

Grass form: 3-2 in 2025; QF in Queen's Club and Berlin

Best Wimbledon result: 2022 Champion

Implied probability of winning: ★★★☆☆

🔎 Comment: Has been immensely consistent at Wimbledon with a 19-3 win-loss across the last four editions, including reaching the 2024 semifinal.

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

Draw position: Second seed, Bottom half

Early threats: Dayana Yastremska in First Round; Victoria Azarenka in Second Round

Biggest obstacle before the final: Elena Rybakina

Grass form: 0-1 in 2025, lost to Xinyu Wang in Berlin

Best Wimbledon result: Fourth rounds in 2019, 2021 and 2024

Title chance: ★★☆☆☆

🔎 Comment: She is yet to reach a quarterfinal at Wimbledon, or a final on grass, but recently won her second Grand Slam title at Roland-Garros. Final Thoughts:

Final Thoughts

Why Iga Swiatek does not feature on this list? The Pole has never made it past the quarterfinal at Wimbledon, and has fallen to her worst ranking in many years.

Aryna Sabalenka heavily dominates the top half, giving herself a likely clean path to the Finals. The second half, on the other hand, is loaded with big names and is likely to see a scrap.

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